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Harmful temperatures and consumption expenditure: evidence from Nigerian households

Jubril Animashaun

Lotanna Emediegwu

Nneka Osadolor

Okiemua Okoror

7235 ­ ­ EN ­ ­ 45. October 2024 ­ ­­ ­ climate change extreme heat food expenditure welfare Nigeria

This paper examines the effect of changes in temperature on households’ food expenditure in Nigeria. Using micro-data on consumption expenditure from Nigerian households, we find that extreme heat increases per capita consumption expenditure during dry seasons but not in wet seasons. Prior works show that small-scale farmers attenuate the effects of extreme heat on agricultural productivity through the short-term use of non-traded productive inputs, such as land. This evidence supports the view that the scope of climate change mitigating practices could keep food prices steady despite increases in extreme weather events. However, when investment in tradable inputs like drought-resistant technologies is greater, attenuating weather shocks could lower the welfare of netfood buyers if it increases food prices. To further support our interpretation, we find that relative to households in urban cities, rural households pay more for food during the dry season. We interpret this as a reflection of the higher costs of production associated with extreme heat during the dry season. Our results support policies that offer compensated income to vulnerable households to mitigate the impact of weather shocks in agrarian communities in developing countries

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Tarlan. Gorchiyeva

PhD student of the Agricultural Economics Research Center

   

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Kamala. Sadygova

Ministry of Science and Education of the Republic of Azerbaijan, Institute of Dendrology

  researcher  

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Rasul. Balayev

Azerbaijan State University of Economics, professor

  prof, dr  

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Yusif. Abayev

Ph.D. student of the İnstitute of Economics of ANAS

   

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Islam. Ibrahimov

Baku Business University

  prof, dr  

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Aydin. Asgarov

Institute of Genetic Resources of ANAS

   

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Ayaz. Museyibov

Center for Analysis of Economic Reforms and Communication

   

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Nurida. Gasimova

Ph.D. student of Azerbaijan University of Cooperation

   

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Maarif. Yusiphov

Vegetable Research Institute

   

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Mushfiq. Tukanov

Ph.D. student of the Agricultural Research Center

   

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Idris. Hojatov

Ministry of Science and Education of the Republic of Azerbaijan, Institute of Dendrology

  junior researcher  

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Javid. Hasanov

Senior specialist, Agricultural Research Center Ph.D. student of the Agricultural Research Center

   

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Gulsum. Badirzade

Ph.D. student of the Azerbaijan Cooperation University

   

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Firidun. Taghiyev

Head of department of Ministry of Agriculture of Azerbaijan Republic

   

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Alamdar. Asgarov

Vegetable Research Institute

   

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Natig. Javadov

Azerbaijan State Agrarian University

  prof, dr