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Harmful temperatures and consumption expenditure: evidence from Nigerian households

Jubril Animashaun

Lotanna Emediegwu

Nneka Osadolor

Okiemua Okoror

5245 ­ ­ EN ­ ­ 45. October 2024 ­ ­­ ­ climate change extreme heat food expenditure welfare Nigeria

This paper examines the effect of changes in temperature on households’ food expenditure in Nigeria. Using micro-data on consumption expenditure from Nigerian households, we find that extreme heat increases per capita consumption expenditure during dry seasons but not in wet seasons. Prior works show that small-scale farmers attenuate the effects of extreme heat on agricultural productivity through the short-term use of non-traded productive inputs, such as land. This evidence supports the view that the scope of climate change mitigating practices could keep food prices steady despite increases in extreme weather events. However, when investment in tradable inputs like drought-resistant technologies is greater, attenuating weather shocks could lower the welfare of netfood buyers if it increases food prices. To further support our interpretation, we find that relative to households in urban cities, rural households pay more for food during the dry season. We interpret this as a reflection of the higher costs of production associated with extreme heat during the dry season. Our results support policies that offer compensated income to vulnerable households to mitigate the impact of weather shocks in agrarian communities in developing countries

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Aytekin. Huseynova

Ph.D. student of Azerbaijan Cooperation University

   

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Elchin. Khalilov

Research Institute of Plant Protection and Technical Plants

   

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Said. Mustafayev

Ph.D. student of the Agricultural Research Center

   

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Khayala. Guliyeva

Ph.D. student of the Agricultural Research Center

   

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Kamala. Sadygova

Ministry of Science and Education of the Republic of Azerbaijan, Institute of Dendrology

  researcher  

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Vahid. Abbasov

Head of the Department of Economics, Baku State University

  prof, dr  

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Ramil. Huseyn

Center for Economic Reforms and Communication

  Doctor of Economics  

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Saadat. Guliyeva

Azerbaijan Academy of Labor and Social Relations

  Doctor of Philosophy in Economics  

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Rafiz. Ismayilli

student of the Agricultural Economics Research Center

   

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Khaliq. Ghafarli

Ph.D. student of the Agricultural Research Center

   

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Bahruz. Nuriyev

Chief consultant in Ministry of Agriculture of Azerbaijan Republic

   

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Nazrin. Ramazanova

Master of Azerbaijan State University of Economics (UNEC)

   

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Ramil. Asgarov

Doctoral student of Azerbaijan State Agrarian University

   

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Chilenay. Abishova

Ph.D. student of the Agricultural Economics Research Center

   

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Islam. Ibrahimov

Baku Business University

  prof, dr  

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Maharram. Huseynov

Azerbaijan State Agricultural University

  prof, dr