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Harmful temperatures and consumption expenditure: evidence from Nigerian households

Jubril Animashaun

Lotanna Emediegwu

Nneka Osadolor

Okiemua Okoror

5270 ­ ­ EN ­ ­ 45. October 2024 ­ ­­ ­ climate change extreme heat food expenditure welfare Nigeria

This paper examines the effect of changes in temperature on households’ food expenditure in Nigeria. Using micro-data on consumption expenditure from Nigerian households, we find that extreme heat increases per capita consumption expenditure during dry seasons but not in wet seasons. Prior works show that small-scale farmers attenuate the effects of extreme heat on agricultural productivity through the short-term use of non-traded productive inputs, such as land. This evidence supports the view that the scope of climate change mitigating practices could keep food prices steady despite increases in extreme weather events. However, when investment in tradable inputs like drought-resistant technologies is greater, attenuating weather shocks could lower the welfare of netfood buyers if it increases food prices. To further support our interpretation, we find that relative to households in urban cities, rural households pay more for food during the dry season. We interpret this as a reflection of the higher costs of production associated with extreme heat during the dry season. Our results support policies that offer compensated income to vulnerable households to mitigate the impact of weather shocks in agrarian communities in developing countries

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Alamdar. Asgarov

Vegetable Research Institute

   

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Jahani. Nusretzade

Scientific Research Institute of Fruit-growing and Tea-growing

   

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Tahmasib. Huseynov

Azerbaijan State University of Economics (UNEC)

  Doctor of Philosophy in Economics  

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Israfil. Ismayilov

Member of the Russian Academy of Natural Sciences

  Prof. Dr.  

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Sabuhi. Eldarov

Research Institute of Plant Protection and Technical Plants

   

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Ramiz. Isgandarov

Department of "Economics and Statistics" of Azerbaijan Technical University

  prof, dr  

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Gulnar. Bashirova

Master of Azerbaijan State University of Economics (UNEC)

   

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Rashad. Ahmadov

Education Center of Tax Ministry of Azerbaijan Republic

   

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Yusif. Akhundov

Ph.D. student of the Agricultural Research Center

   

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Turana. Mustafayeva

Ph.D. student of Western Caspian University

   

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Gamar. Ibrahimova

Special Constructor Technology Bureau of the National Aerocosmic Agency

   

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Najiba. Hajiyeva

Baku State University

  Doctor of Philosophy in Economics  

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Arastun. Jalilov

  Doctor of Philosophy in Economics  

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Elchin. Salahov

Azerbaijan State Agricultural University

  Doctor of Philosophy in Economics  

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Vagif.

Center for Local Economic Reforms

  Ph.D., docent  

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Idris. Hojatov

Ministry of Science and Education of the Republic of Azerbaijan, Institute of Dendrology

  junior researcher