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Harmful temperatures and consumption expenditure: evidence from Nigerian households

Jubril Animashaun

Lotanna Emediegwu

Nneka Osadolor

Okiemua Okoror

6369 ­ ­ EN ­ ­ 45. October 2024 ­ ­­ ­ climate change extreme heat food expenditure welfare Nigeria

This paper examines the effect of changes in temperature on households’ food expenditure in Nigeria. Using micro-data on consumption expenditure from Nigerian households, we find that extreme heat increases per capita consumption expenditure during dry seasons but not in wet seasons. Prior works show that small-scale farmers attenuate the effects of extreme heat on agricultural productivity through the short-term use of non-traded productive inputs, such as land. This evidence supports the view that the scope of climate change mitigating practices could keep food prices steady despite increases in extreme weather events. However, when investment in tradable inputs like drought-resistant technologies is greater, attenuating weather shocks could lower the welfare of netfood buyers if it increases food prices. To further support our interpretation, we find that relative to households in urban cities, rural households pay more for food during the dry season. We interpret this as a reflection of the higher costs of production associated with extreme heat during the dry season. Our results support policies that offer compensated income to vulnerable households to mitigate the impact of weather shocks in agrarian communities in developing countries

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Gunel. Naghiyeva

Master of Azerbaijan State University of Economics (UNEC)

   

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Irada. Huseynova

Vice-president of Azerbaijan National Academy of Sciences Director of the Institute of Molecular Biology and Biotechnology, ANAS

  academician  

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Arastun. Jalilov

  Doctor of Philosophy in Economics  

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Huseynaga. Asadov

Ministry of Science and Education of the Republic of Azerbaijan, Institute of Dendrology

  Ph.D., ass, pr  

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Turan. Ahmadli

Special Constructor Technology Bureau of the National Aerocosmic Agency

   

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Vusala. Babayeva

Doctor of Science Program of Agricultural Economics Research Center

  Doctor of Philosophy in Economics  

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Gamar. Ibrahimova

Special Constructor Technology Bureau of the National Aerocosmic Agency

   

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Samir. Maharramov

Doctoral student of Azerbaijan Tourism and Management University

   

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Leyla. Hajiyeva

Ph.D. student of the Agricultural Economics Research Center

   

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Natig. Javadov

Azerbaijan State Agrarian University

  prof, dr  

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Fariz. Suleymanov

Ph.D. student of the Azerbaijan State Agrarian University

   

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Izzat. Talibov

Chief consultant in Ministry of Agriculture of Azerbaijan Republic

   

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Yusif. Akhundov

Ph.D. student of the Agricultural Research Center

   

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Mekhman. Rzayev

Sumgait Chemical-Industrial Park

  doctor of agrarian sciences  

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Alamdar. Asgarov

Vegetable Research Institute

   

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Fuad. Rzayev

Ph.D. student of the Azerbaijan Technical University