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Harmful temperatures and consumption expenditure: evidence from Nigerian households

Jubril Animashaun

Lotanna Emediegwu

Nneka Osadolor

Okiemua Okoror

23705 ­ ­ EN ­ ­ 45. October 2024 ­ ­­ ­ climate change extreme heat food expenditure welfare Nigeria

 

UOT: 551.58

This paper examines the effect of changes in temperature on households’ food expenditure in Nigeria. Using micro-data on consumption expenditure from Nigerian households, we find that extreme heat increases per capita consumption expenditure during dry seasons but not in wet seasons. Prior works show that small-scale farmers attenuate the effects of extreme heat on agricultural productivity through the short-term use of non-traded productive inputs, such as land. This evidence supports the view that the scope of climate change mitigating practices could keep food prices steady despite increases in extreme weather events. However, when investment in tradable inputs like drought-resistant technologies is greater, attenuating weather shocks could lower the welfare of netfood buyers if it increases food prices. To further support our interpretation, we find that relative to households in urban cities, rural households pay more for food during the dry season. We interpret this as a reflection of the higher costs of production associated with extreme heat during the dry season. Our results support policies that offer compensated income to vulnerable households to mitigate the impact of weather shocks in agrarian communities in developing countries

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Ramil. Huseyn

Center for Economic Reforms and Communication

  Doctor of Economics  

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Mehman. Rzayev

Azerbaijan RPA Hydrotechnics and Melioration

  doctor of agrarian sciences  

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Tahmasib. Huseynov

Azerbaijan State University of Economics (UNEC)

  Doctor of Philosophy in Economics  

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Irada. Huseynova

Vice-president of Azerbaijan National Academy of Sciences Director of the Institute of Molecular Biology and Biotechnology, ANAS

  academician  

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Heydar. Agayev

Ph.D. student of the Azerbaijan Cooperation University

   

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Farman. Karimov

Research Institute of Plant Protection and Technical Plants

   

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Parviz. Aliyev

Chief of department, Agricultural Research Center
Ph.D. student of the Agricultural Research Center

   

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Samira. Akbarova

Ph.D. student of Azerbaijan Technological University Lecturer at Mingachevir State University

   

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Abrehet. Mehari

Lecturer in Ethiopia Civil Service University, Ethiopia, Addis Ababa; Ph.D. candidate in Azerbaijan State University of Economics

   

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Uhayna. Valehzadeh

Ph.D. student of the Agricultural Research Center Lecturer at Azerbaijan Tourism and Management University

   

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Elbrus. Akbarov

Azerbaijan State University of Economics (UNEC), senior lecturer

   

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Rovshan. Guliyev

Azerbaijan State Economic University (UNEC)

  prof, dr  

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Расим. Алиев

Chief economist, Scientific Research Institute of Agriculture

  Doctor of Philosophy in Economics  

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Abbas. Safarov

Ph.D. student of the Agricultural Research Center

   

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Islam. Ibrahimov

Baku Business University

  prof, dr  

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Fuad. Rzayev

Ph.D. student of the Azerbaijan Technical University