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Harmful temperatures and consumption expenditure: evidence from Nigerian households

Jubril Animashaun

Lotanna Emediegwu

Nneka Osadolor

Okiemua Okoror

11728 ­ ­ EN ­ ­ 45. October 2024 ­ ­­ ­ climate change extreme heat food expenditure welfare Nigeria

 

UOT: 551.58

This paper examines the effect of changes in temperature on households’ food expenditure in Nigeria. Using micro-data on consumption expenditure from Nigerian households, we find that extreme heat increases per capita consumption expenditure during dry seasons but not in wet seasons. Prior works show that small-scale farmers attenuate the effects of extreme heat on agricultural productivity through the short-term use of non-traded productive inputs, such as land. This evidence supports the view that the scope of climate change mitigating practices could keep food prices steady despite increases in extreme weather events. However, when investment in tradable inputs like drought-resistant technologies is greater, attenuating weather shocks could lower the welfare of netfood buyers if it increases food prices. To further support our interpretation, we find that relative to households in urban cities, rural households pay more for food during the dry season. We interpret this as a reflection of the higher costs of production associated with extreme heat during the dry season. Our results support policies that offer compensated income to vulnerable households to mitigate the impact of weather shocks in agrarian communities in developing countries

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Gamar. Ibrahimova

Special Constructor Technology Bureau of the National Aerocosmic Agency

   

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Natig. Javadov

Azerbaijan State Agrarian University

  prof, dr  

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Khaliq. Ghafarli

Ph.D. student of the Agricultural Research Center

   

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Javahir. Allahverdiyeva

Azerbaijan State Agrarian University

  senior lecturer  

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Arshad. Yashar

Head of land identification and geographical data sector of the Land use Control Department of the Ministry of Agriculture of the Republic of Azerbaijan

   

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Zohra. Abbasova

Ph.D. student of the Agro Researches Center

   

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Samir. Maharramov

Doctoral student of Azerbaijan Tourism and Management University

   

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Nurida. Gasimova

Ph.D. student of Azerbaijan University of Cooperation

   

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Aygun. Huseynova

Baku State University

   

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Said. Mustafayev

Ph.D. student of the Agricultural Research Center

   

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Manzar. Nasibova

Senior researcher

   

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Eldar. Guliyev

Agricultural Economics Research Center

  Ph.D., docent  

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Sevil. Maharramova

PhD student of the Scientific Research Institute of Agromechanics

   

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Fuad. Rzayev

Ph.D. student of the Azerbaijan Technical University

   

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Khayala. Guliyeva

Ph.D. student of the Agricultural Research Center

   

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Galib. Sharifov

Head of the Department of Quality Management of "Agro Procurement and Supply" OJSC, ISO standards expert

  Doctor of Philosophy in Economics