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Harmful temperatures and consumption expenditure: evidence from Nigerian households

Jubril Animashaun

Lotanna Emediegwu

Nneka Osadolor

Okiemua Okoror

23220 ­ ­ EN ­ ­ 45. October 2024 ­ ­­ ­ climate change extreme heat food expenditure welfare Nigeria

 

UOT: 551.58

This paper examines the effect of changes in temperature on households’ food expenditure in Nigeria. Using micro-data on consumption expenditure from Nigerian households, we find that extreme heat increases per capita consumption expenditure during dry seasons but not in wet seasons. Prior works show that small-scale farmers attenuate the effects of extreme heat on agricultural productivity through the short-term use of non-traded productive inputs, such as land. This evidence supports the view that the scope of climate change mitigating practices could keep food prices steady despite increases in extreme weather events. However, when investment in tradable inputs like drought-resistant technologies is greater, attenuating weather shocks could lower the welfare of netfood buyers if it increases food prices. To further support our interpretation, we find that relative to households in urban cities, rural households pay more for food during the dry season. We interpret this as a reflection of the higher costs of production associated with extreme heat during the dry season. Our results support policies that offer compensated income to vulnerable households to mitigate the impact of weather shocks in agrarian communities in developing countries

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AUTHORS

 

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Gabil. Kazimov

Research Institute of Crop Husbandry

   

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Rafiz. Ismayilli

student of the Agricultural Economics Research Center

   

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Naila. Aliyeva

Associate professor of the Azerbaijan State Economic University (UNEC) Doctoral student of the Agro Researches Center

  Doctor of Philosophy in Economics  

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Idris. Hojatov

Ministry of Science and Education of the Republic of Azerbaijan, Institute of Dendrology

  junior researcher  

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Javid. Hasanov

Senior specialist, Agricultural Research Center Ph.D. student of the Agricultural Research Center

   

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Kamala. Sadygova

Ministry of Science and Education of the Republic of Azerbaijan, Institute of Dendrology

  researcher  

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Faiq. Gasimli

PhD student of the Agricultural Economics Research Center

   

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Umkhanim. Agakishiyeva

Teacher of Azerbaijan University of Architecture and Construction

   

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Galib. Sharifov

Head of the Department of Quality Management of "Agro Procurement and Supply" OJSC, ISO standards expert

  Doctor of Philosophy in Economics  

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Lala. Jabbarlı

Ph.D. student of the Agricultural Economics Research Center

   

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Turan. Ahmadli

Special Constructor Technology Bureau of the National Aerocosmic Agency

   

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Abdulrahim. Dadashov

Ph.D. candidate of UNEC, Agricultural Economics Research Center

   

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Расим. Алиев

Chief economist, Scientific Research Institute of Agriculture

  Doctor of Philosophy in Economics  

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Savalan. Seyfaddinov

Senior researcher at the Scientific Research Institute of Agriculture Ministry of Agriculture of the Republic of Azerbaijan

  Ph.D. in Agrarian Sciences  

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Bahruz. Nuriyev

Chief consultant in Ministry of Agriculture of Azerbaijan Republic

   

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Yusif. Abayev

Ph.D. student of the İnstitute of Economics of ANAS