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Harmful temperatures and consumption expenditure: evidence from Nigerian households

Jubril Animashaun

Lotanna Emediegwu

Nneka Osadolor

Okiemua Okoror

21032 ­ ­ EN ­ ­ 45. October 2024 ­ ­­ ­ climate change extreme heat food expenditure welfare Nigeria

 

UOT: 551.58

This paper examines the effect of changes in temperature on households’ food expenditure in Nigeria. Using micro-data on consumption expenditure from Nigerian households, we find that extreme heat increases per capita consumption expenditure during dry seasons but not in wet seasons. Prior works show that small-scale farmers attenuate the effects of extreme heat on agricultural productivity through the short-term use of non-traded productive inputs, such as land. This evidence supports the view that the scope of climate change mitigating practices could keep food prices steady despite increases in extreme weather events. However, when investment in tradable inputs like drought-resistant technologies is greater, attenuating weather shocks could lower the welfare of netfood buyers if it increases food prices. To further support our interpretation, we find that relative to households in urban cities, rural households pay more for food during the dry season. We interpret this as a reflection of the higher costs of production associated with extreme heat during the dry season. Our results support policies that offer compensated income to vulnerable households to mitigate the impact of weather shocks in agrarian communities in developing countries

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AUTHORS

 

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Israfil. Ismayilov

Member of the Russian Academy of Natural Sciences

  Prof. Dr.  

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Rena. Musayeva

Department of “Economic Regulation” of Azerbaijan State University of Economics (UNEC)

   

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Firidun. Taghiyev

Head of department of Ministry of Agriculture of Azerbaijan Republic

   

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Yusif. Humbatov

Azerbaijan University of Technology

   

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Mushfiga. Mammadova

Agricultural Economics Research Center

  Ph.D., docent  

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Konul. Mamedova

Ph.D. student of the Agricultural Economics Research Center

   

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Abrehet. Mehari

Lecturer in Ethiopia Civil Service University, Ethiopia, Addis Ababa; Ph.D. candidate in Azerbaijan State University of Economics

   

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Namig. Shalbuzov

Deputy Director of the Agricultural Economics Research Center

  Doctor of Philosophy in Economics  

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Idris. Hojatov

Ministry of Science and Education of the Republic of Azerbaijan, Institute of Dendrology

  junior researcher  

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Savalan. Seyfaddinov

Senior researcher at the Scientific Research Institute of Agriculture Ministry of Agriculture of the Republic of Azerbaijan

  Ph.D. in Agrarian Sciences  

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Samira. Akbarova

Ph.D. student of Azerbaijan Technological University Lecturer at Mingachevir State University

   

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Kenan. Mammadov

Associate Professor, Azerbaijan Technical University

  Doctor of Philosophy in Economics  

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Ramil. Huseyn

Center for Economic Reforms and Communication

  Doctor of Economics  

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Parviz. Aliyev

Chief of department, Agricultural Research Center
Ph.D. student of the Agricultural Research Center

   

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Aygun. Shirin

Ph.D. student of the Agricultural Research Center Azerbaijan Technical University

   

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Vuqar. Namazov

Ph.D. candidate of the Azerbaijan State Economic University (UNEC)