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Harmful temperatures and consumption expenditure: evidence from Nigerian households

Jubril Animashaun

Lotanna Emediegwu

Nneka Osadolor

Okiemua Okoror

10920 ­ ­ EN ­ ­ 45. October 2024 ­ ­­ ­ climate change extreme heat food expenditure welfare Nigeria

 

UOT: 551.58

This paper examines the effect of changes in temperature on households’ food expenditure in Nigeria. Using micro-data on consumption expenditure from Nigerian households, we find that extreme heat increases per capita consumption expenditure during dry seasons but not in wet seasons. Prior works show that small-scale farmers attenuate the effects of extreme heat on agricultural productivity through the short-term use of non-traded productive inputs, such as land. This evidence supports the view that the scope of climate change mitigating practices could keep food prices steady despite increases in extreme weather events. However, when investment in tradable inputs like drought-resistant technologies is greater, attenuating weather shocks could lower the welfare of netfood buyers if it increases food prices. To further support our interpretation, we find that relative to households in urban cities, rural households pay more for food during the dry season. We interpret this as a reflection of the higher costs of production associated with extreme heat during the dry season. Our results support policies that offer compensated income to vulnerable households to mitigate the impact of weather shocks in agrarian communities in developing countries

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AUTHORS

 

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Ibrahim. Jafarov

Azerbaijan State Agricultural University

  Corresponding member of ANAS, prof  

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Boyukxanum. Abdulkarim

Baku State University

   

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Natig. Mirzayev

Lankaran State University

   

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Mehman. Rzayev

Azerbaijan RPA Hydrotechnics and Melioration

  doctor of agrarian sciences  

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Rashad. Ahmadov

Education Center of Tax Ministry of Azerbaijan Republic

   

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Farman. Guliyev

Scientific Research Institute of Fruit-growing and Tea-growing

   

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Mushfiga. Mammadova

Agricultural Economics Research Center

  Ph.D., docent  

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Elchin. Khalilov

Research Institute of Plant Protection and Technical Plants

   

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Natig. Javadov

Azerbaijan State Agrarian University

  prof, dr  

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Ramil. Huseyn

Center for Economic Reforms and Communication

  Doctor of Economics  

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Samir. Agayev

Ph.D. student of Azerbaijan State Economic University (UNEC)

   

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Javid. Hasanov

Senior specialist, Agricultural Research Center Ph.D. student of the Agricultural Research Center

   

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Nazrin. Ramazanova

Master of Azerbaijan State University of Economics (UNEC)

   

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Fariz. Suleymanov

Ph.D. student of the Azerbaijan State Agrarian University

   

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Mekhman. Rzayev

Sumgait Chemical-Industrial Park

  doctor of agrarian sciences  

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Fakhraddin. Aghayev

Vegetable Research Institute